OPTIMAL DISTRIBUTION OF EGYPTIAN WHEAT IMPORTS IN LIGHT OF THE RUSSIAN-UKRAINIAN WAR

Elrefaie Suliman, Mahmoud A.; M. Abd Elfatah, Ibrahim A.

doi:10.21608/sinjas.2023.257919.1244

OPTIMAL DISTRIBUTION OF EGYPTIAN WHEAT IMPORTS IN LIGHT OF THE RUSSIAN-UKRAINIAN WAR

Document Type : Researches

Authors

Dept. Agric. Econ., Fac. Agric., Ain Shams Univ., Cairo, Egypt.

10.21608/sinjas.2023.257919.1244

Abstract

The research mainly aimed to study the current situation of Egypt’s import of wheat from Russia and Ukraine in light of the events of the current war, and to identify the current geographical distribution of Egypt’s wheat imports with the aim of re-distributing geographically in order to reduce the value of those imports, and not rely on a specific market. The research found a statistically significant increase in both productivity and area of the wheat crop in Egypt, while production was characterized by relative stability during the study period. It was also shown that the most important countries exporting to Egypt are Russia, Ukraine, Romania, France, America, and Australia, which together represent about 97.5% of Egypt’s total wheat imports during the period (2018-2022). It also became clear that these countries are also the most important wheat exporting countries in the world, in addition to Canada, Argentina, and Germany. By studying the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on Egypt’s wheat imports, it was found that it led to an increase in both food inflation prices and Egypt’s import prices from Ukraine. It also led to a decrease in the amount of Egypt’s imports from Ukraine and the amount of Egypt’s imports from Ukraine and Russia together.

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